dc.creator | De Lombaerde, Emiel | es |
dc.creator | Vangansbeke, Pieter | es |
dc.creator | Lenoir, Jonathan | es |
dc.creator | Van Meerbeek, Koenraad | es |
dc.creator | Lembrechts, Jonas | es |
dc.creator | Rodríguez Sánchez, Francisco | es |
dc.creator | Luoto, Miska | es |
dc.creator | Scheffers, Brett | es |
dc.creator | Haesen, Stef | es |
dc.creator | Aalto, Juha | es |
dc.creator | De Frenne, Pieter | es |
dc.date.accessioned | 2024-09-04T14:21:09Z | |
dc.date.available | 2024-09-04T14:21:09Z | |
dc.date.issued | 2022 | |
dc.identifier.citation | De Lombaerde, E., Vangansbeke, P., Lenoir, J., Van Meerbeek, K., Lembrechts, J., Rodríguez Sánchez, F.,...,De Frenne, P. (2022). Maintaining Forest Cover to Enhance Temperature Buffering under Future Climate Change. Science of The Total Environment, 810, 151338. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.151338. | |
dc.identifier.issn | 1879-1026 | es |
dc.identifier.issn | 0048-9697 | es |
dc.identifier.uri | https://hdl.handle.net/11441/162257 | |
dc.description.abstract | Forest canopies buffer macroclimatic temperature fluctuations. However, we do not know if and how the capacity of canopies to buffer understorey temperature will change with accelerating climate change. Here we map the difference (offset) between temperatures inside and outside forests in the recent past and project these into the future in boreal, temperate and tropical forests. Using linear mixed-effect models, we combined a global database of 714 paired time series of temperatures (mean, minimum and maximum) measured inside forests vs. in nearby open habitats with maps of macroclimate, topography and forest cover to hindcast past (1970–2000) and to project future (2060–2080) temperature differences between free-air temperatures and sub-canopy microclimates. For all tested future climate scenarios, we project that the difference between maximum temperatures inside and outside forests across the globe will increase (i.e. result in stronger cooling in forests), on average during 2060–2080, by 0.27 ± 0.16 °C (RCP2.6) and 0.60 ± 0.14 °C (RCP8.5) due to macroclimate changes. This suggests that extremely hot temperatures under forest canopies will, on average, warm less than outside forests as macroclimate warms. This knowledge is of utmost importance as it suggests that forest microclimates will warm at a slower rate than non-forested areas, assuming that forest cover is maintained. Species adapted to colder growing conditions may thus find shelter and survive longer than anticipated at a given forest site. This highlights the potential role of forests as a whole as microrefugia for biodiversity under future climate change. | es |
dc.description.sponsorship | European Research Council FORMICA 757833 | es |
dc.description.sponsorship | Swiss National Science Foundation 193645 | es |
dc.description.sponsorship | Katholieke Universiteit Leuven 3E190655 | es |
dc.description.sponsorship | National Science Foundation DGE-1842473 | es |
dc.description.sponsorship | Flagship Programme 337552 | es |
dc.description.sponsorship | Swedish Research Council 2014-530, 20182829 | es |
dc.description.sponsorship | Research Foundation – Flanders G0H1517N, 12P1819N, ASP035-19 | es |
dc.description.sponsorship | Agence Nationale de la Recherche ANR-19-CE32-0005-01 | es |
dc.format | application/pdf | es |
dc.format.extent | 23 p. | es |
dc.language.iso | eng | es |
dc.publisher | Elsevier | es |
dc.relation.ispartof | Science of The Total Environment, 810, 151338. | |
dc.rights | Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 Internacional | * |
dc.rights.uri | http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ | * |
dc.subject | Forest microclimate | es |
dc.subject | Temperature offsets | es |
dc.subject | Canopy | es |
dc.subject | Climate change | es |
dc.subject | Future climate projections | es |
dc.subject | Paired sensor data | es |
dc.title | Maintaining Forest Cover to Enhance Temperature Buffering under Future Climate Change | es |
dc.type | info:eu-repo/semantics/article | es |
dc.type.version | info:eu-repo/semantics/acceptedVersion | es |
dc.rights.accessRights | info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess | es |
dc.contributor.affiliation | Universidad de Sevilla. Departamento de Biología Vegetal y Ecología | es |
dc.relation.projectID | FORMICA 757833 | es |
dc.relation.projectID | 193645 | es |
dc.relation.projectID | 3E190655 | es |
dc.relation.projectID | DGE-1842473 | es |
dc.relation.projectID | 337552 | es |
dc.relation.projectID | 2014-530 | es |
dc.relation.projectID | 20182829 | es |
dc.relation.projectID | G0H1517N | es |
dc.relation.projectID | 12P1819N | es |
dc.relation.projectID | ASP035-19 | es |
dc.relation.projectID | ANR-19-CE32-0005-01 | es |
dc.relation.publisherversion | https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.151338 | es |
dc.identifier.doi | 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.151338 | es |
dc.journaltitle | Science of The Total Environment | es |
dc.publication.volumen | 810 | es |
dc.publication.initialPage | 151338 | es |
dc.contributor.funder | European Research Council (ERC) | es |
dc.contributor.funder | Swiss National Science Foundation (SNFS) | es |
dc.contributor.funder | Katholieke Universiteit Leuven. Belgium | es |
dc.contributor.funder | National Science Foundation (NSF). United States | es |
dc.contributor.funder | Flagship Programme. Finland | es |
dc.contributor.funder | Swedish Research Council | es |
dc.contributor.funder | Research Foundation – Flanders (FWO) | es |
dc.contributor.funder | Agence Nationale de la Recherche. France | es |