A comparison of radionuclide dispersion model performances for the Baltic Sea and Fukushima releases in the Pacific Ocean

Abstract

State-of-the art dispersion models were applied to simulate 137Cs dispersion from Chernobyl nuclear power plant disaster fallout in the Baltic Sea and from Fukushima Daiichi nuclear plant releases in the Pacific Ocean after the 2011 Tsunami. Models were of different nature, from box to full three-dimensional models, and included water/ sediment interactions. Agreement between models was very good in the Baltic. In the case of Fukushima, results from models could be considered to be in acceptable agreement only after a model harmonization process consisting of using exactly the same forcing (water circulation and parameters) in all models