Ponencia
Probabilistic Aircraft Conflict Detection in the Terminal Maneuvering Area
Autor/es | Hernández Romero, Eulalia
Valenzuela Romero, Alfonso Rivas Rivas, Damián Steiner, Matthias Pinto, James |
Departamento | Universidad de Sevilla. Departamento de Ingeniería Aeroespacial y Mecánica de Fluidos |
Fecha de publicación | 2018-06-26 |
Fecha de depósito | 2021-02-10 |
Publicado en |
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Resumen | Understanding and managing weather uncertainty is a
necessity that the future Air Traffic Management system must
address to increase its capacity, efficiency and safety levels. In
this paper, a methodology to tackle the ... Understanding and managing weather uncertainty is a necessity that the future Air Traffic Management system must address to increase its capacity, efficiency and safety levels. In this paper, a methodology to tackle the problem of aircraft conflict detection in the terminal maneuvering area of an airport considering wind uncertainty is presented. The wind components are modelled as random processes, characterized by a nominal and a stochastic term. The problem of two aircraft following three-dimensional multi-segment converging trajectories in the same airspace is considered. The conflict is characterized by two indicators: the distance of closest approach between the aircraft, and the conflict probability. The statistical characterization of these conflict indicators is obtained using the Probabilistic Transformation Method. Numerical results are presented for a particular conflict scenario and an uncertain vertical wind profile, obtained from a high resolution numerical weather prediction model. The results are compared with those obtained with the Monte Carlo method. |
Agencias financiadoras | Fondo Europeo de Desarrollo Regional (FEDER) Beca para estudiantes de posgrado Najeeb E. Halaby. |
Identificador del proyecto | TRA2014-58413-CR |
Cita | Hernández Romero, Eulalia, Valenzuela Romero, Alfonso, Rivas Rivas, Damián, Steiner, Matthias y Pinto, James (2018). Probabilistic Aircraft Conflict Detection in the Terminal Maneuvering Area. En 8th International Conference on Research in Air Transportation Barcelona: International Conference on Research in Air Transportation (ICRAT). |
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