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Sector demand analysis under meteorological uncertainty

Opened Access Sector demand analysis under meteorological uncertainty
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Autor: Valenzuela Romero, Alfonso
Franco Espín, Antonio
Rivas Rivas, Damián
Departamento: Universidad de Sevilla. Departamento de Ingeniería Aeroespacial y Mecánica de Fluidos
Fecha: 2017
Publicado en: 7th European Conference for Aeronautics and Space Sciences (EUCASS 2017 Conference) (2017),
Tipo de documento: Ponencia
Resumen: In this paper, a methodology to assess the uncertainty of sector demand when subject to weather uncertainty is presented. The methodology requires the definition of a scenario (in terms of Air Traffic Control sector, flights, and weather forecasts to be considered), the processing of meteorological data (provided by Ensemble Prediction Systems, which are composed of different possible atmosphere realizations), and a trajectory predictor (which, for each flight and for each atmosphere realization, computes a different aircraft trajectory). The computed trajectories, along with the information of the sector, are then used to analyse the sector demand, which is described in terms of entry count (number of flights entering the sector during a selected time period). The analysis is based on the statistical characterization of the entry times of the flights to the sector and of the entry count. The probability of the entry count exceeding the declared capacity of the sector is obtained. A r...
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Cita: Valenzuela Romero, A., Franco Espín, A. y Rivas Rivas, D. (2017). Sector demand analysis under meteorological uncertainty. En 7th European Conference for Aeronautics and Space Sciences (EUCASS 2017 Conference), Milan, Italy.
openaireH2020/699294
Tamaño: 1.356Mb
Formato: PDF

URI: http://hdl.handle.net/11441/62059

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