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Estimación del comportamiento futuro del nivel del mar en las Islas Canarias a partir del análisis de registros recientes

 

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Opened Access Estimación del comportamiento futuro del nivel del mar en las Islas Canarias a partir del análisis de registros recientes
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Author: Fraile Jurado, Pablo
Sánchez Rodríguez, Esperanza
Fernández Díaz, Miguel
Pita López, María Fernanda
López Torres, José Manuel
Department: Universidad de Sevilla. Departamento de Geografía Física y Análisis Geográfico Regional
Date: 2014
Published in: Geographicalia, 66, 79-98
Document type: Article
Abstract: En este artículo se estima el comportamiento futuro del nivel medio del mar en las Islas Canarias a partir de registros locales procedentes de mareógrafos y satélites altimétricos (con información sobre el comportamiento reciente del nivel del mar e...
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The aim of this paper is to estimate the future mean sea level rise in the Canary Islands by means of the analysis of tide gauge and altimetry satellite records. The applied methodology consists of a linear regression analysis between global and local time series sea level rise data over the same time period. An equation of the linear regression line is obtained for each pair of data in the time series (global and local), corresponding values for three IPCC scenarios in the global variable are identified, and a local prediction is obtained. A higher sea level rise than IPCC predictions have been found in two of the analyzed tide gauges and in most of the studied water surface. Obtained results in Lanzarote show lower sea level rises than IPCC predictions by the end of the 21st century.
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URI: http://hdl.handle.net/11441/30155

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